AI 2040 plan calls for delaying superintelligence until 2040 with full research transparency
scaling01 · x · 2026-07-28
AI 2040’s “Plan A” argues for delaying superintelligence until 2040
The article lays out a positive scenario for avoiding AI-driven catastrophe: delay superintelligence, make AI research public, let many countries and companies catch up, and enter a regime of mutually assured compute destruction.
Core proposal
- Humanity should slow AI development until 2040 rather than racing to the frontier.
- All AI R&D should become transparent and public so governments and nations can monitor progress and enforce guardrails.
- The goal is a multi-country, multi-company race conducted slowly and safely, instead of secretive competition.
How the authors frame it
- It is a policy recommendation, not their forecast of the most likely future.
- The scenario is meant to stress-test governance ideas and show what a cooperative path might look like.
- The piece contrasts this with several alternative plans and argues that international coordination is necessary to avoid concentration of power or existential catastrophe.
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