Hans Moravec’s 1988 AGI forecast returns in a profile about humanity’s future
binarybits · x · 2026-07-28
- A long New York Magazine profile revisits Hans Moravec, who predicted human-level AI by 2028 in the 1980s.
- The piece explains how he grounded his forecast in estimates of brain compute and then extrapolated Moore’s law backward as a law of intelligence.
- It frames Moravec’s ideas through a broader question: if his prediction was right, what does that imply for the fate of humanity and his own generation of AI thinkers?
Related event: Hans Moravec's 1988 AGI Prediction Revisited(2 posts)→
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