Noahpinion quotes Chollet: intelligence may hit a hard ceiling
binarybits · x · 2026-07-27
Noahpinion quotes François Chollet arguing that intelligence may have a hard ceiling: humans are specialized in a few cognitive tasks, and AI progress in math/coding/forecasting may not imply much improvement in broad, everyday judgment.
- The core metaphor is that intelligence is less like “making the tower taller” and more like “making the ball rounder.”
- Once a system is already mostly spherical, further gains become marginal.
- The post argues that even with vastly more compute, models are constrained by the finite information that can be extracted from data and measured about the world.
Related event: Chollet Argues AI Progress Will Face Diminishing Returns(4 posts)→
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