What’s the probability that AI matches top humans in nearly all single-player games by 2028?
dioscuri · x · 2026-07-26
The post asks for a probability estimate that by December 2028, at least one general-purpose AI system will be able to match or beat top human performance in nearly all single-player video games.
It is framed as a prediction question about the pace of AI capability gains, especially general-purpose systems crossing a broad gaming benchmark rather than excelling at a single title.
More from AGI Musings
- Universal high income, the author says, only becomes viable once permanent unemployment is obvious — rand_longevity · 2026-07-26
- AI Bubble Risk Could Be Worse Than the Dot-Com Bust Because So Much More of It Is Debt-Funded — rohanpaul_ai · 2026-07-26
- From Mockery to Business Leverage: The Decade Evolution of Musk's AI Safety Rhetoric — theteknosaur · 2026-07-26
- Jensen Huang says science was never too hard — it was too slow — r0ck3t23 · 2026-07-26
- What “the singularity” means, and why AI researchers still disagree on 2047 — GregCook2011 · 2026-07-26
- A post argues AGI risk can't be solved by one global slowdown switch — edelwax · 2026-07-26