Polymarket prices a 11% chance of a Chinese top AI model this year
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-24
Polymarket users put 11% odds on a Chinese top model this year
Polymarket shows an 11% chance that a Chinese company will have a top AI model by the end of the year.
The reply attached to the post cites US and UK government testing that allegedly found Kimi K3 performs “significantly below” US frontier models, suggesting the market is reacting to weak evaluation results rather than hype.
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