Researchers open a demo for forecasting social-science treatment effects
RobbWiller · x · 2026-07-23
The authors released a public demo at treatmenteffect.app for trying the forecasting method.
- Users can enter one or more treatment messages, choose an outcome and response scale, and compare up to 10 treatments.
- The demo generates forecasts for U.S. adult samples.
- The post explicitly says it is a technical demo and should complement, not replace, human-participant research.
Related event: Nature Study: GPT-4 Can Predict Social Science Experiment Results(18 posts)→
More from Research
- 34 open models self-hosted on a Blackwell cluster for open health evals — keunwoochoi · 2026-10-27
- Paper: data schedules and learning rate schedules should be designed together — alifcoder · 2026-10-27
- Health benchmark study: quality and diversity of eval items beat quantity — keunwoochoi · 2026-10-27
- Across 7 tasks, highest reasoning setting isn't the best for most open models — keunwoochoi · 2026-10-27
- Open Models Match GPT-6 on MedMCQA but Trail 17 Points on Hard Clinical Cases — keunwoochoi · 2026-10-27
- Data Curriculum and LR Schedule Should Be Co-Designed: Math Data Placement Flips With Learning Rate — CatAstro_Piyush · 2026-10-27