Polymarket puts OpenAI’s year-end IPO odds at 19% as compute spend talk hits $750B

Polymarket · x · 2026-07-23

Polymarket is showing a 19% chance that OpenAI goes public by the end of the year.

The post is a reply to a claim that OpenAI has raised its projected compute spending through 2030 to about $750 billion, underscoring how aggressive the company’s infrastructure plans have become.

Related event: OpenAI raises 2030 compute spending estimate to $75B(5 posts)→

Original post →

More from Venture

Venture channel →