Kimi K3 lands exactly on China’s 2-year AI capability trend line
peterwildeford · x · 2026-07-21
The post argues that Kimi K3 lands exactly where China’s 2-year AI capability trend would predict, citing an EpochAI Capability Index chart that places it around 155.0, roughly on par with Qwen3.7-Max and above earlier Chinese frontier models like DeepSeek-R1 and Kimi K2.
The quoted claim says Kimi K3 is roughly comparable to Opus 4.6, a model released about six months earlier, and suggests China still has not caught up to the strongest frontier systems even if it continues closing the gap. The chart itself labels Kimi K3 as matching the projected trend line rather than exceeding it.
Related event: Moonshot Releases 2.8 Trillion Parameter Open-Weight Model Kimi K3(8 posts)→
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