Polymarket prices a 24% chance of AI hitting 1600 on Math Arena this year
Polymarket · x · 2026-07-21
Polymarket now prices a **24% chance** that an AI will reach a **1600 Math Arena score** before year-end. The quoted reply turns it into a joke headline: an “Anthropic employee” supposedly used “Claude Fable 5” to disprove the **Jacobian conjecture** — a math problem that has been open for nearly 90 years — while watching the World Cup. The claim is clearly framed as meme-like exaggeration, not a real announcement.
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