EpochAI: Codex Engineer Productivity on the Rise

SamuelAlbanie · x · 2026-07-19

This EpochAI study estimates the productivity boost among **Codex engineers**. The methodology involves using an LLM to reverse-engineer how long a merged PR would take an engineer without AI assistance. They found that **in Q2 2026, 8% of contributor-days** are estimated to equate to **over 24 hours** of manual work, a notable increase from **2%** a year ago. The author cautions that this method still makes strict causal attribution difficult.

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