The Frontier Competition is About Intelligence Per Watt

willccbb · x · 2026-07-19

The author believes that while we can certainly continue to pile on more compute to increase intelligence, we will hit diminishing marginal returns.

In their view, the core of the frontier model competition isn't simply chasing larger parameter counts or higher pass@1000 scores, but "intelligence efficiency per watt"—maximizing the intelligent output per unit of compute while keeping costs under control.

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