AI Forecasting Models Near Human Superforecasters
sebkrier · x · 2026-07-17
The ForecastBench team echoed Scott Alexander's assessment: AI superforecasters have arrived.
The core message of the post is their benchmark conclusion. ForecastBench is a benchmark designed to compare AI forecasters against human superforecasters, and the latest results indicate that, for the first time, multiple AI models are statistically indistinguishable from human superforecasters.
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