Public Experiment Results and Frontier Model Limits

eliebakouch · x · 2026-07-13

The author admits they aren't the best writer, so they're trying a more time-efficient, reader-friendly "blog" format to share experiment results and welcome feedback.

In this experiment, most of their hypotheses were disproven by the results, with only a transfer hypothesis from Fable showing strong promise. They haven't had time to fully analyze every result, so they are publishing all logs and data publicly, hoping experts can help interpret them.

They mention using several open-source resources to find correlations, including Delphi, OLMo, and smolLM3. Additionally, this set of experiments served as an excellent testing ground for evaluating the limitations of frontier models.

Related event: Exploring Hierarchical Metrics in Pre-training and Frontier Model Limits(3 posts)→

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