Predicting Model Releases via Compute Rhythms
peterwildeford · x · 2026-07-13
The author notes that being a "top forecaster" can get a bit boring because many AI events can be deduced early on:
- Model release dates: The approximate release week can be inferred by tracking data center construction progress.
- Model capabilities: A model's expected performance level can be estimated using the company's Epoch ECI curve.
Related event: Predicting AI Model Releases via Compute Infrastructure Tracking(2 posts)→
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