AI 2040: The ASI Race is the Most Likely Outcome
scaling01 · x · 2026-07-11
The post quotes perspectives on AI 2040: the authors believe that "Plan D, the race towards ASI," is the most probable outcome.
It also mentions that Eli Lifland estimates the probability of a "good future | plan D" at 10%. Overall, the discussion revolves around the trajectories of AGI/ASI and the likelihood of optimistic futures, rather than specific models or products.
Related event: AI 2027 Team Releases AI 2040 Future Scenario Projections(40 posts)→
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