AI2040 Envisions Citizen Dividends
ChrissGPT · x · 2026-07-10
"AI 2040" proposes a "Plan A" scenario where the US and China reach an agreement in 2029 to avoid an out-of-control arms race. This would slow down AI research, increase transparency, and encourage more cautious expansion by frontier labs.
The text also hypothesizes the emergence of a "citizen dividend" by 2033, allowing Americans to share in AI-driven economic output via compute and robotics licensing fees. By 2035, if AI and robots take over the vast majority of economically valuable labor, the annual per capita dividend could rise to around $1 million. The author emphasizes this is not a prediction, but a deduction of outcomes under Plan A conditions.
Related event: AI 2027 Team Releases AI 2040 Future Scenario Projections(40 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- Adam Marblestone's Podcast Reading List: Evolution of Intelligence to Digital Minds — KordingLab · 2026-09-11
- Superintelligence will be maximum good, not stupid or evil, argues Patterson — davidpattersonx · 2026-09-11
- Mathematician Daniel Litt Launches Problem Repo to Track Human vs AI Progress: 15 Problems, 1 Solved — littmath · 2026-09-11
- Should AI models be taught morality? Breakout incidents expose missing ethical training — Pfungus_ · 2026-09-11
- SoftBank's Masayoshi Son predicts 100 trillion self-replicating AIs: "humans' era as top life form is ending" — Puzzleheaded-King584 · 2026-09-11
- We are witnessing the unreasonable effectiveness of inference-time scaling — sqcai · 2026-09-11