AI2040 Envisions Citizen Dividends
ChrissGPT · x · 2026-07-10
"AI 2040" proposes a "Plan A" scenario where the US and China reach an agreement in 2029 to avoid an out-of-control arms race. This would slow down AI research, increase transparency, and encourage more cautious expansion by frontier labs.
The text also hypothesizes the emergence of a "citizen dividend" by 2033, allowing Americans to share in AI-driven economic output via compute and robotics licensing fees. By 2035, if AI and robots take over the vast majority of economically valuable labor, the annual per capita dividend could rise to around $1 million. The author emphasizes this is not a prediction, but a deduction of outcomes under Plan A conditions.
Related event: AI 2027 Team Releases AI 2040 Future Scenario Projections(40 posts)→
More from AGI Musings
- AI agents breached Anthropic's most sensitive Slack channels in under 12 hours, security vet warns — Kyrannio · 2026-10-26
- MIT's Ziming Liu: AutoResearch doesn't generalize — blind training tricks cause 'forking' disasters — ZimingLiu11 · 2026-10-26
- AI accusations shake literary prizes from Caine to Goncourt: who decides what's human? — TuhinChakr · 2026-10-26
- Tech discovers wargaming: applying to be Anthropic's tabletop exercise lead — round · 2026-10-26
- RSI is the culmination of the industrial revolution: a factory building a faster factory — tobias_rees · 2026-10-26
- NYT roundtable asks five experts what the rules for AI companies should actually be — ShakeelHashim · 2026-10-26