Oxford Philosopher Says Most AGI Timelines Are Too Long

Oxford philosopher Toby Ord noted that AI completes 80% of AI R&D tasks within a 15-minute time span in OpenAI and Google DeepMind measurements, adding that most people's AGI timelines are still too long, though he stressed the figure is only one piece of the RSI puzzle.

2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-07 · 3 related posts

• Toby Ord clarifies: most people's AGI timelines are too long, the bigger problem — tobyordoxford · 2026-11-07
• Toby Ord: AI's 80% time horizon on AI R&D is just 15 minutes at OpenAI and GDM — tobyordoxford · 2026-11-07
• Toby Ord: self-censoring flawed analysis from 'your team' is bad epistemics — tobyordoxford · 2026-11-07