Oxford's Toby Ord Estimates AI Capability Scaling Factor γ at 0.66

Oxford philosopher Toby Ord estimated γ, the factor converting AI performance gains per token into human-time-equivalent progress, at about 0.66, but says it is unclear whether γ has plateaued or could still exceed 1, with implications for recursive self-improvement analysis.

2026-10-09 ~ 2026-10-09 · 3 related posts

• Has γ Plateaued at ~0.66? Toby Ord Says We Can't Tell Yet — tobyordoxford · 2026-10-09
• Toby Ord: AI capability scaling coefficient γ sits near 0.66, but whether it has plateaued is unknown — tobyordoxford · 2026-10-09
• Toby Ord: AI's gamma coefficient may skew key RSI parameter estimates — tobyordoxford · 2026-10-09