Pretraining compute share falls to 7%, reviving Yudkowsky's doom thesis

Yudkowsky argues that pretraining's compute share has dropped to 7%, reviving his prediction of capability spikes in verifiable domains. A formerly skeptical reader now finds reality tracking the doomer scenario of 'If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies' more closely than expected.

2026-10-08 ~ 2026-10-09 · 2 related posts

• Yudkowsky: pretraining is down to 7% of compute and spiky capability predictions are back — repligate · 2026-10-08
• Pretrain Falls to 7% of Compute as Yudkowsky's Doom Scenario Regains Ground — DKokotajlo · 2026-10-09