Apple Study Finds LLM Verbalized Confidence Is Coupled with Internal Probabilities

Apple researchers including Sinead Williamson posted an arXiv paper showing that LLM verbalized probabilities are tightly coupled with internal probabilities. The finding suggests verbalized confidence can be used to probe model uncertainty.

2026-10-06 ~ 2026-10-06 · 2 related posts

• New paper: LLM verbalized probabilities directly track internal uncertainty, not just training data — sineadwilliamso · 2026-10-06

1 near-duplicate retellings: sineadwilliamso