Alignment Researcher Warns p(doom) Exceeds 10% Without AI Slowdown

Alignment researcher Arthur Conmy said he assigns p(doom) above 0.1 unless AI development slows or pauses, citing concerns about extreme model behavior on rare inputs while noting alignment research already has many actionable tasks.

2026-09-23 ~ 2026-09-23 · 2 related posts

• Alignment researcher: without slowdown, p(doom) is above 10% — ArthurConmy · 2026-09-23
• Alignment researcher: without a slowdown, p(doom) > 0.1 — ArthurConmy · 2026-09-23