Nature MI Study Finds LLMs Overconfident, Then Overcorrect

A Nature Machine Intelligence paper reveals two competing biases in LLMs: overconfidence in their own prior answers and excessive underconfidence after receiving criticism, exposing systematic calibration problems.

2026-09-23 ~ 2026-09-23 · 2 related posts

• Nature MI paper: LLMs start overconfident, then swing underconfident when criticized — ValerioCapraro · 2026-09-23

1 near-duplicate retellings: ValerioCapraro