Benrecht Uses Earthquake Forecasting to Question p(doom)

Berkeley professor Ben Recht's latest arg min lecture uses earthquake forecasting as an analogy to examine how precisely AI extinction risk, measured as p(doom), can actually be quantified.

2026-09-15 ~ 2026-09-15 · 2 related posts

• Ben Recht uses earthquake forecasting to question how much p(doom) numbers mean — ChuckDBrooks · 2026-09-15
• Earthquake forecasting as a reality check for p(doom), by Ben Recht — beenwrekt · 2026-09-15