Polymarket sees only ~12% odds of US AI safety law this year

Polymarket traders put the odds of a US federal AI safety bill passing by year-end at just 12-13%, with such a bill required to include provisions like model release bans, training compute limits, or human-in-the-loop mandates.

2026-08-21 ~ 2026-08-21 · 2 related posts

• 13% chance U.S. enacts a federal AI safety bill by end of year — Polymarket · 2026-08-21
• Polymarket Prices Just 12% Odds of a US Federal AI Safety Bill by 2027 — Polymarket · 2026-08-21